Business

Rupee named world’s best-performing currency

Published

2 months ago

September 29, 2023

Admin

KARACHI:

The Pakistani rupee has claimed the title of the world’s best-performing currency for September, marking a seven-week high against the US dollar. On the seventeenth successive working day of its upward trajectory, the rupee closed at an impressive Rs287.74 against the greenback, gaining 0.35% or Rs1.01, according to the State Bank of Pakistan’s data.

Leading financial firm Arif Habib Limited declared, “Pak rupee became the best-performing currency of the world during September 2023.” In the same period, other top-performing currencies such as the Mauritian rupee, Hong Kong dollar, and Canadian dollar gained less than 1%. In contrast, over three dozen currencies worldwide experienced declines ranging from 0.1% to 6.2% during the month.

Over the past 17 working days, the Pakistani currency has cumulatively strengthened by an impressive 6.73%, recovering 19.36 from its record low of Rs307.10/$ on September 5, 2023. This remarkable performance has brought the rupee back to its pre-caretaker government levels.

Read Rupee surges to seven-week high

Economist, Ashfque Hasan Khan, attributes this extraordinary recovery to the government’s crackdown on foreign currency smugglers, hoarders, and speculators. Khan emphasised that the earlier pessimistic outlook on the rupee, predicting it would fall beyond Rs300/$, had fuelled speculative depreciation, resulting in a 6% (Rs18.60) drop from August 15 to September 5, 2023. The subsequent crackdown on speculators and smugglers gradually restored the rupee to its fair value.

Khan argued that the relationship between the crackdown and the rupee’s recovery highlights the absence of a market-based exchange rate, debunking speculators’ claims. The interim government had suggested the actual value of the rupee was Rs260/$.

Local research also predicts further recovery, projecting the rupee may strengthen to Rs278-280/$ in the current cycle. The crackdown has effectively eliminated black markets, boosted foreign currency inflows through official channels, and helped stabilise foreign exchange reserves at $7.80 billion.

Published in The Express Tribune, September 29^th, 2023.

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PSX crosses 60,000 points milestone

Published

11 mins ago

November 28, 2023

Admin

Segregation of client assets is critical as brokers have been penalised for using client money illegally. PHOTO: AFP

KARACHI:

The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) smoothly crossed the psychological barrier of 60,000 points during the early trading hours of Tuesday.

The gains came due to rich individuals and institutional investors making significant new investments in expectation of deep cuts in interest rates and the availability of stocks at low prices.

The PSX benchmark KSE-100 Index hit a new all-time high level of 60,745 points, rising by 1.56% or 934 points before mid-day from Monday’s close at 59,811 points. Penny stocks were the volume leader in the rally including textile, technology, food, bank and steel stocks.

Speaking to The Express Tribune, Arif Habib Limited Head of Research Tahir Abbas said: “The high expectation for a deep 7% cut in the key policy rate (interest rate) by the State Bank of Pakistan over the one-year agreed investors to take new possessions”.

“The central bank is expected to cut its key policy rate to 15% by December 2024 from record high 22% at present…ahead of a potential deceleration in inflation reading next year,” he added

Abbas mentioned that the interest rate cut expectations have made rich individuals and institutional investors relocate their investments to the stock market from fixed-income instruments these days.

Topline Securities CEO Muhammad Sohail said in a comment on X (formerly Twitter) that the PSX is breaking records and the development is “still not surprising.”

The market has gained 50% in only five months to over 60,000 points from 40,000 points. “This is the fastest 50% rise in a few months after 2004,” he wrote.

Read PSX hits fresh record, nears 60k milestone

“When you have an unbelievably low valuation, a price-to-earnings ratio of 3-4%, such recovery is not at all surprising,” Sohail further commented.

Abbas further said the listed companies have booked record high growth in profit of 46% in the first nine months ending September 2023 and added that “accordingly, dividend payments by them rose robustly by 42% in the same period. This is another factor that has attracted new investment at PSX”.

The market is expecting foreign currency inflows worth around $1.5-2 billion from multilateral creditors like the World Bank and Asian Development Bank soon after the IMF executive board approves the release of its second tranche of $700 million to Pakistan in December 2023.

This is another factor for the record-buying spree at PSX.

He anticipated the market reaching 75,000-80,000 points by the end of December 2024 considering all goes well including political stability in the country, economic growth, and global commodity prices remaining stable.

“The next six months seem stable at least”, he maintained.

Business

Completion of key projects increases water storage

Published

1 hour ago

November 28, 2023

Admin

LAHORE:

The completion of eight ongoing water and hydropower projects by Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA) is set to significantly enhance Pakistan’s water storage capacity and hydel power generation. The carry-over water capacity in the country will increase from 30 to 45 days, with an additional 9.7 MAF water storage.

During a visit to WAPDA House, a delegation from PAF Air War College Karachi, led by Air Commodore Raja Imran Asghar, received a comprehensive briefing. The delegation comprised officers from Pakistan and allied nations.

Read: Water projects presented to Turkish consultants

The delegation learned about the climate change threats and water security challenges faced by Pakistan. WAPDA’s ongoing projects, such as Diamer Basha Dam, Mohmand Dam, and others, were highlighted as crucial for the water, food, and energy security of the country.

Published in The Express Tribune, November 28^th, 2023.

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Business

Pakistan, China forge textile ties

Published

2 hours ago

November 28, 2023

Admin

SUZHOU:

A Pakistani delegation, led by Hussain Haider, Pakistan’s Consul General in Shanghai, visited Shengze Oriental Textile City in Suzhou, China, and met with representatives from local textile enterprises.

During the meeting, Haider introduced the trade and investment environment of Pakistan and China, with a particular focus on the preferential policies available to Chinese investors in Pakistan. “Currently, Pakistan’s textile exports to China mainly consist of cotton yarn, apparel, cotton fabrics, and home textiles, with cotton yarn accounting for 73% of the total,” he stated.

Expressing a strong desire for deep cooperation with Shengze’s silk and textile industry cluster, he extended an invitation to Shengze’s enterprises to visit Pakistan and gain first-hand knowledge of the trade and investment policies.

Shengze is renowned for its robust silk and textile industry with a rich history. To gain insights into the dynamics of the textile sector and explore potential collaborations, the delegation toured several textile enterprises in Shengze Oriental Textile City and reached preliminary cooperation intentions. Haider said, “We hope to further communicate and connect with Shengze Oriental Textile City. We sincerely invite Shengze’s enterprises to invest and establish factories in Pakistan, aiming to achieve mutual benefits and contribute to the deepening of China-Pakistan cooperation.”

Read: Chinese manufacturers to help textile industry

Agro-forestry Economy

The third Science and Technology Exchange Conference on China-Pakistan Tropical Arid Non-wood Forest is being held both online and offline from November 26 to 28 in Zhengzhou, China, and Gwadar, Pakistan, simultaneously.

The exchange conference aims to showcase achievements and research progress of both nations in the field of economic forestry. It also seeks to facilitate academic exchanges of woody medicinal herbs and active substances between China and Pakistan.

The event, co-hosted by the Chinese Society of Forestry (CSF) and Central South University of Forestry and Technology (CSUFT), drew over 220 officials, scholars, students, and business representatives from both countries.

In 2021, CSUFT, China Overseas Port Holding Company, and Yulin Holdings collaborated to establish an Engineering Research Centre for Tropical Arid Non-wood Forest.

THE ARTICLE ORIGINALLY APPEARED ON THE CHINA ECONOMIC NET

Published in The Express Tribune, November 28^th, 2023.

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